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This book has come out of many years of research and is based on an experience in the late 90s, when I realized that the threat of global destruction had not died with the Cold War – only postponed – and now we are dangerously close to the precipice again. Will we step over into the abyss?

I am pessimistic about the prospects. But I am aware there are many who believe our fate can be changed – that there’s hope. The Pattern of History explores the reasons I think humanity keeps returning to war in its most destructive. I welcome comments and suggestions and can be contacted at: